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Blue Team
December 2, 202422 min read

Quantum Computing Threats & Post-Quantum Cryptography Migration Guide

Prepare for the quantum threat with this guide covering harvest now decrypt later attacks, NIST post-quantum standards, and cryptographic migration strategies.

A
Asfaleia Team
Security Consultant
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Quantum Computing Threats & Post-Quantum Cryptography Migration Guide
10-15
Years to Q-Day
4
NIST PQC Standards
2030
Migration Target
100%
RSA/ECC Broken

The Quantum Threat

Quantum computers will break RSA, ECC, and all current public-key cryptography. The "harvest now, decrypt later" threat means attackers are collecting encrypted data today.

Harvest Now, Decrypt Later

State actors are collecting encrypted data now to decrypt once quantum computers are available. Long-lived secrets are at immediate risk.

Cryptographic Impact

Broken by Quantum

RSA (all key sizes)
ECC (Elliptic Curve)
Diffie-Hellman
DSA/ECDSA
Current TLS

Still Secure

AES-256
SHA-3
Symmetric algorithms
NIST PQC standards
Hybrid approaches

NIST PQC Standards

Key Encapsulation

  • ML-KEM (Kyber)
  • Lattice-based
  • Fast performance
  • Primary standard

Digital Signatures

  • ML-DSA (Dilithium)
  • SLH-DSA (SPHINCS+)
  • FN-DSA (FALCON)
  • Hash-based backup

Migration Checklist

Immediate Actions
Cryptographic inventory
Risk assessment
Skill development
Vendor engagement
Migration Steps
Hybrid implementation
PKI transition planning
HSM upgrades
Application updates

Start Now

Begin with cryptographic inventory and risk assessment. The 5-10 year migration timeline starts today.

#Quantum Computing#Post-Quantum Cryptography#NIST#Encryption#Cryptography#PKI

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